In your future, too?

The Artdog Quote of the Week

The more I think about this week's quote, the more truth I see in it. This month I'm focusing some of my posts on climate change migration and climate change refugees, because it is a growing phenomenon.

My fellow Americans tend to think of refugees as "other people." But if you're a Puerto Rican, or a former resident of Paradise, California, I bet it doesn't feel so remote. Many communities in Alaska also are feeling the effects, but if you're a Hurricane Katrina refugee, this is already an all-too-familiar story.

This issue isn't going away, it's growing. Proactive planning is by far the best response, but we're not getting enough of that from most local, state, or federal agencies--although a few (too few) corporations are waking up to the problem. This is an issue right here (no matter where "here" is for you) and right now.

From flooding and devastation in Puerto Rico to burnt remains in Paradise, CA, there's too much destruction on US soil for Americans to turn a blind eye to climate refugees.

If you haven't already started, this might be a great time to write, call or email your representatives, government officials, and others. If you live in a representative democracy, you have the right! Show up at town halls. Demonstrate if needed. Make your voice heard, and remember performance records when you vote. We're all in the bullseye, for this one.

IMAGE CREDITS: Many thanks to AZ Quotes for the illustrated quote from Vivienne Westwood. The other image is a composite of two news photos. On the left is a view of a flooded Puerto Rican town in the wake of Hurricane Maria, courtesy of The Daily Egyptian, photo by Carolyn Cole/Los Angeles Times/TNS. On the left is a view of destruction in Paradise, CA after the Camp Fire in 2018, from Insurance Journal (no photographer credited).

Seizing the day in Puerto Rico

Like an island-wide tornado?
Puerto Ricans (and residents of other devastated neighboring islands, as well) need everything--RIGHT NOW. There's no question about that. Lives are at stake.

Certainly looks like a tornado hit: downed power lines in Humacao, PR -- photo by Carlos Giusti/AP and CNN

But while FEMA and the Puerto Rican government are leasing power generators and shipping in enormous planes full of food, water, and medicine, I hope the people who will be rebuilding Puerto Rico keep their eyes on the future.

Loading up for Puerto Rico: an industrial size generator. They'll need a bunch of them! Power is the most critical need.

I'm from Kansas, so when I heard a meteorologist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research (who should know what he's talking about) say of Hurricane Maria, "It was as if a 50- to 60-mile-wide tornado raged across Puerto Rico, like a buzz saw," I could relate. We Kansans understand about tornadoes.

Hurricane Maria over Puerto Rico (see outline) -- image by Joshua Stevens and NASA Earth Observatory, via Vox

One of the things I keep hearing is how antiquated the power grid and other infrastructure on the island are. This stems in large part from the crushing debt crisis that has been plaguing the island's economy for years, a situation that's a haunting echo of the history of not-too-far-away Haiti's economic woes. How did that develop? I like John Oliver's explanation (note: this video is 21 minutes long, but in my opinion worth the time to watch).



It's a pretty massive mess, and a disaster on top of it all isn't helping in the least. But I'm oriented toward thinking about finding opportunities for positive change, even in the worst disaster. The "tornado" comparison led me to wonder if the island could take a page from Greensburg, Kansas' recovery playbook.

Not Puerto Rico: this is Greensburg, KS, in May, 2007 -- Photo by Mike Theiss of UltimateChase.com

No, I'm not suggesting that the "green revolution" that seems to be working moderately well for a small Kansas town of 771 residents could be directly scaled up for a tropical island with a population of 3.4 million! Different climate, different terrain, much larger population--this is definitely not a "one size ought to fit all" suggestion.

All the government buildings over 4,000 sq. ft. in Greensburg today are built to LEED-Platinum standards -- Photo by Fred Hunt/New York Times, via SaveOnEnergy.com

But the residents of Greensburg took a direct hit from an EF5 tornado. Those who survived emerged into a landscape of utter devastation. With pretty much nothing left standing except shattered trees and mounds of rubble, they were going to have to either rebuild brand new, or leave.

I have a sense that, on a hugely more massive scale, Puerto Rico is facing a similar scenario. Greensburg lost half its population after the tornado. Puerto Rico's debt situation had already started that trend, and, like Hurricane Katrina before it, I imagine Puerto Rico will see some migration that becomes permanent after Maria. But the survivors who stayed in Greensburg, KS decided to build for the future.



There's already some movement in that direction, in Puerto Rico. In the footsteps of solar panel user Eddie Ramirez, the Casa Sol B&B operator in old San Juan profiled above, there are indications that the solar industry might be interested in participating in a transformation of Puerto Rico's power resources. Certainly if Elon Musk gets involved, some perspectives should change.

If ever a power grid was ready for a fundamental transformation, Puerto Rico's is! --Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images, via Vox.

I hope they do install many more solar capabilities--but I also hope they don't stop with only solar power. True resiliency lies in diversity. It seems possible that wind power (maybe not during hurricanes) and perhaps tidal power generation (after all, Puerto Rico is surrounded by ocean) also might be renewable contributions to Puerto Rico's energy resources.

Example of a wind farm. This one's located near the Danish city of Grenå. 

An artist's rendering of a tidal fence to harvest tidal energy, based on a design by Energy BC, of British Columbia, Canada.

Building codes should be designed with hurricanes in mind, mandating (and possibly partially subsidizing) more wind-durable homes and similar structures, as well as household and community-level preparedness planning for the next "big one." I hope to discuss hurricane preparedness more in a future post.

IMAGES: Many thanks to CNN and Carlos Guisti of the AP, for the photo of downed power lines; to Diesel Service and Supply, for the photo of the Puerto-Rico-bound generator on the big rig; to Vox, the NASA Earth Observatory, and Joshua Stevens for the satellite photo of Hurricane Maria; to Last Week Tonight with John Oliver and YouTube for the rather long video about Puerto Rican debt; to Mike Theiss and UltimateChase.com for the photo from Greensburg in 2007; to Fred Hunt/New York Times via SaveOnEnergy.com, for the more recent photo from Greensburg; to YouTube and NBC Nightly News for the video on the power crisis in Puerto Rico; to photographer Mario Tama of Getty Images, via Vox, for the daunting image of the downed power lines in Utuado, PR; to Siemens, for the photo of the Danish wind farm; to Energy BC of British Columbia, for the artist's rendering of the tidal fence; and to Deltec, for the diagram of the hurricane-resistant house.

Memories of the 2017 NASFiC

Perhaps you'd like to see a presentation my son Tyrell Gephardt and I prepared, about our experiences at this year's North American Science Fiction Convention (NASFiC), held anytime the Worldcon is not in North America (which it is not this year; it's in Helsinki).



We hope you'll enjoy it--we certainly enjoyed our time there! We've also shared this presentation with KACSFFS, our local Kansas City Science Fiction and Fantasy Society, both at the July meeting last Saturday and on the KaCSFFS Blog (scroll down).

Ty and I also spent a couple of days afterward, wandering around in fascinating Old San Juan. It's possible some of the thoughts and photos from those peregrinations may end up in future blog posts here!

IMAGES: At least half of those in the NASFiC presentation, are by Jan S. Gephardt. Most of the other photos in the presentation are by Tyrell E. Gephardt; the remaining photos (credited at the end of the NASFiC presentation) are from the official website of the Sheraton Puerto Rico Hotel & Casino, where the NASFiC was held. Thanks!